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Text
warSocialism.com

Although no one in Washington is telling you, Americans have
been getting poorer and poorer (physically) since the late 1970's.
The reasons are that global oil discovery peaked in 1962,
American oil production peaked in 1970,
and our population keeps rising.

Only three tactics can mitigate this ongoing process:

#1. Take energy resources by military force.
We did this in Iraq.

#2. Give up America's unique style of dog-eat-dog
capitalism in favor of a new political system.
This was Hubbert's recommendation.

#3. Reduce population at least as fast as available energy
resources fall.  This may be effective if we
stop all immigration, deport as many illegal aliens as possible,
and do everything possible to discourage births.

2-1

Turn your sound on!

START

NEXT

The following slides will explain
why Americans have been getting poorer and poorer (in physical
terms) since the late 1970's and why conservation, efficiency and
alternatives can not solve the problem.

Americans waste more natural resources than any other people in
the history of the world. Although we are the same animal that
evolved to need three or four thousand calories a day, the average
American uses over 200,000 calories of total energy a day!

2-2

The Earth is a sphere. All spheres are finite.
Therefore, the Earth is finite.

The Earth's energy resources are finite too: finite stocks such as
oil, coal and uranium - and finite flows such as wind and solar.
It is physically impossible to increase these finite resources.

2-3

We mine minerals and fossil fuels from the
Earth's crust.

The deeper we dig,
the greater the energy requirements.

2-4

The most concentrated and most accessible resources are
produced first; thereafter,
more and more energy is required to produce
poorer and poorer quality resources.

This means that energy companies must spend more energy
tomorrow to produce the same amount of energy as they did today.

As time goes on, a larger and larger fraction of the energy
produced must be reinvested in energy production to keep the
same level of energy available for consumer goods and services.

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Ore Quality of U.S. Copper, 1906 to 1980

p. 43, BEYOND OIL, J. Gever, et al., 1991

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5

0

1945

1955

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Oil and Gas Production per

Foot of Well Drilled with

Energy Break-Even

for Drilling and

Extracting

p. 182, ENERGY AND RESOURCE QUALITY

C. A. S. Hall, C. Cleveland, and R. Kaufmann, 1992

1925

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Oil Production Lower 48 States

Since Americans consume more energy
per capita than anyone else, rising energy
costs will ultimately make our products
uncompetitive in the global marketplace.
At that point, America’s economic machine is
“out of gas” – forever!

The laws of thermodynamics tell us,
that no matter what anyone does,
the energy cost of energy will
continue to rise for many decades.
As the energy cost of energy
continues to rise, the fraction
of every dollar consumed by
energy costs will also rise.

2-6

Pimentel & Giampietro, 1994

Available natural resources are declining but the population of the
United States continues to rise. This means that fewer and fewer
natural resources are available for each American citizen.

It's impossible to increase the finite amount of natural resources,
but if population numbers fall faster than available energy, then
each may have a greater portion of what's left.

2-7

2-8

America was founded on these truths.
1.  Our country has many natural resources.
We should use them to become richer.
2.  An increase in US population will enrich
our country.

Why are these “truths” not true?

2-9

Here are the answers:
1.  Our natural resources are  finite.
We will all be poor when they are gone.
2.  More people consuming our finite
resources means less for each of us.

Prior to peak oil, as the fraction of
energy available for consumer
goods declined, energy
companies compensated by
increasing the total amount of
energy produced.

Once peak oil occurs, energy
companies can no longer
increase the total amount of
energy production and
different tactics must be used to
mitigate the declining fraction.

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Years

40

Total for

entire region

Individual

wells

2-10

What about conservation?
Under a system of dog-eat-dog capitalism it doesn't help.
Energy saved by conservation and efficiency is simply consumed
by the increasing consumption of consumer goods and services.

Jevons paradox
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
In economics, the Jevons Paradox (sometimes
called the Jevons effect) is the proposition that
technological progress that increases the
efficiency with which a resource is used, tends to
increase (rather than decrease) the rate of
consumption of that resource. It is historically
called the Jevons Paradox as it ran counter to
popular intuition. However, the situation is well
understood in modern economics. In addition to
reducing the amount needed for a given output,
improved efficiency lowers the relative cost of
using a resource – which increases demand.

2-11

2-12

Here’s a proposed solution for you to think about:
Americans can simply conserve energy.
They can solve energy shortages by building
more efficient cars and buildings.
Won’t that help?

Here is the answer:
Conservation can’t help because the energy saved will
be consumed by a rapidly growing population with a
demand for more goods and services.

2-13

What about alternatives?
A 1991 American study found that if a conversion to alternatives
were possible, it could require up to 70% of all available energy
and 20 years to make the conversion!

Would a 70% reduction in
available energy mean a 70%
reduction in jobs, a 70%
reduction in small businesses, a
70% reduction in medical care
and a 70% reduction in food?

This study was done almost 20
years ago. To make the
conversion today would require
an even greater fraction of
available energy and even
longer than 20 years!

p . 225, BEYOND OIL,  J. Gever, et al., 1991

100%

80%

60%

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30%

10

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Years

Full Alternative Energy Commitment

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%

!

2-14

Energy tactics will change when global oil
production peaks and begins its inevitable
decline because it will become physically
impossible for energy companies to
increase total production.

This means that the global amount of
energy available for consumer goods will
fall, year after year, for decades.

Once global oil production
begins its inevitable decline,
Americans can increase their
fraction of the remaining
resources by war, and can
mitigate the local decline by
reorganizing politically and
reducing population.

2-15

Every day, more and more Americans need
to consume more and more natural resources.

Where can we get the energy we need?

2-16

Universal energy laws have been making Americans poorer and
poorer since the late 1970's. These laws can not be repealed!
Only three tactics can mitigate this ongoing process:

#1. Take energy resources by military force.
We did this in Iraq.

#2. Gradually move away from a political system
which encourages the depletion of natural
resources, and towards something like
Hubbert's or my vision for a sustainable
society. The first step would be to
guarantee every citizen the right
to live well without working.

#3. Reduce population at least as
fast as available energy resources fall.

2-17

LIMITS TO GROWTH:
They are back!

If we can not overcome energy laws, where are we
going to find the natural resources that capitalism
needs?  War is not the only answer!

2-18

INDEX

Although no one in Washington is telling you, Americans have
been getting poorer-and-poorer (physically) since the late 1970's.
The reasons are that global oil discovery peaked in 1962,
American oil production peaked in 1970,
and our population keeps rising.

The following slides will explain
why Americans have been getting poorer-and-poorer (in physical
terms) since the late 1970's and why conservation, efficiency and
alternatives can not solve the problem.

The Earth's energy resources are finite too: finite stocks such as
oil, coal and uranium;  and finite flows such as wind and solar.
It is physically impossible to increase these finite resources.

Available natural resources are declining but the population of the
United States continues to rise. This means that fewer-and-fewer
natural resources are available for each American citizen.

It's impossible to increase the amount of natural resources on our
finite planet, but if population numbers fall faster than available
energy, then each may have a greater portion of what's left.

This study was done almost 20
years ago. To make the
conversion today, would require
an even greater fraction of
available energy and even
longer than 20 years!

This means that the global amount of
energy available for consumer goods will
fall, year-after-year, for decades.

Once global oil production
begins its inevitable decline,
Americans can increase their
fraction of the remaining
resources by war; and can
mitigate the local decline by
reorganizing politically and
reducing population.

Every day, more-and-more Americans need
to consume more-and-more natural resources.

Universal energy laws have been making Americans poorer-and-
poorer since the late 1970's. These laws can not be repealed!
Only three tactics can mitigate this ongoing process:

#2. Gradually move away from a political system
which encourages the depletion of natural
resources, and towards something like
Hubbert's or my vision for a sustainable society.
The first step would be to guarantee
every citizen the right to live well
without working.

2-13

The most concentrated and most accessible resources are
produced first; thereafter,
more-and-more energy is required to produce
poorer-and-poorer quality resources.

As time goes on, a larger-and-larger fraction of the energy
produced must be reinvested in energy production to keep the
same level of energy available for consumer goods and services.

<p align="center"><font face="Arial Black" size="10" color="#00ff00" letterSpacing="0.000000" kerning="1"><a href="http://www.warsocialism.com/">Link to more videos!</a></font></p>

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FileAttributes (69)Timeline Frame 1Access local files only, Metadata not present, AS1/AS2.
ScriptLimits (65)Timeline Frame 1MaxRecursionDepth: 256, ScriptTimeout: 120 seconds

Labels

"Intro"Frame 1
"IntroContinued"Frame 3
"Waste"Frame 249
"Finite"Frame 371
"Deeper"Frame 465
"Most"Frame 500
"Fraction"Frame 627
"Per"Frame 775
"Per2"Frame 876
"Per3"Frame 969
"Declining"Frame 1047
"Conservation"Frame 1137
"Conservation2"Frame 1201
"Conservation3"Frame 1266
"Alternatives"Frame 1318
"Tactics"Frame 1484
"Fat"Frame 1628
"Sum"Frame 1665
"War"Frame 1874
"Index"Frame 1917


http://swfchan.com/11/53633/info.shtml
Created: 11/8 -2019 06:17:42 Last modified: 11/8 -2019 06:17:42 Server time: 27/04 -2024 07:53:53